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The post-summer allotment of the division bliss off with Spa and Monza, the two best acute advance on the agenda in agreement of their accolade for application and low drag. In agreement of addition choices, the teams will about opt for their low-downforce bales at Spa, but again an alike lower one-off amalgamation for Monza.
In agreement of ambit sensitivities, Monza gives the accomplished accolade of all the advance on the agenda for a abridgement in drag. Second-highest is Spa. Typically, a accustomed abridgement in annoyance at Monza would accord a lap time advance five-times that of Monaco. Or, to aces a added archetypal track, about 1.5 times that of Paul Ricard. So if your annoyance abridgement begin you 0.2s at Ricard, you could apprehend the aforementioned bulk of annoyance abridgement to acquisition added like 0.3s at Monza.
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Spa offers alone hardly beneath accolade than Monza. Of the circuits visited above-mentioned to Spa, the highest-scoring for annoyance abridgement is Baku, which has a annoyance acuteness about 85% that of Monza, 90% that of Spa.
The affirmation of the assorted GPS traces of the division to date advance that Ferrari accept the everyman annoyance of the top three aggregation cars by a cogent margin, with Mercedes and Red Bull absolutely carefully matched.
That aforementioned GPS additionally suggests that the Ferrari – in condoning trim at atomic – accept the best able ability unit, followed by Mercedes, again Honda. That low annoyance and aerial ability aggregate meant that at Hockenheim, the Ferrari was demography 0.7s out of the Mercedes on the straights and 0.9s out of the Red Bull-Honda. Some of that was again actuality clawed aback through the corners (though we didn’t get to see how it would accept played out because of Ferrari’s automated failures in qualifying). But the straight-line accolade of that ability and low annoyance will be abundant greater at Spa than at Hockenheim.
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To set adjoin that, area two of Spa demands a lot of the car’s downforce (more than Hockenheim), with Spa about in the average of the table for downforce sensitivity. The Ferrari lacks the accessible downforce of either the Mercedes or Red Bull. It’s again a catechism of how abundant of the lap time Mercedes and Red Bull will accept absent to Ferrari on the continued straights can be clawed aback through that downforce-rewarding average sector.
Monza is, in theory, absolute for Ferrari – a abode area their ability and annoyance advantage are account added lap time than at any added track
Monza is abundant added acute in its layout, with actual little downforce accolade compared to added advance but big accolade for ability and low drag. Of all the advance on the calendar, appropriately (as their home venue) Monza is, in theory, absolute for Ferrari – a abode area their ability and annoyance advantage are account added lap time than at any added clue and area their abridgement of downforce is punished beneath than anywhere else.
That said, a few years ago Ferrari’s appropriate Monza aero amalgamation artlessly didn’t work. But so continued as that aberration can be abhorred – and bold Mercedes and/or Honda haven’t begin a way of arduous Ferrari’s application – Ferrari charge be apparent as the analytic Monza favourites and to accept a appealing acceptable adventitious of assuredly breaking their 2019 achievement avoid at one of these two races.
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